European stainless flats prices to increase in February
European spot prices for stainless hot and cold rolled coil are expected to increase in February due to higher alloy surcharges and increased base prices.
First quarter alloy surcharges are increasing in line with higher nickel prices as reported. At the same time European mills have pushed up their base prices by €30/tonne ($32.22/t) on average between December and March. However, a sudden fall in nickel values has just caused tremors in the European market, putting alloy surcharge projections for March on shaky ground, Kallanish learns from market sources.
With higher alloy surcharges next month, February spot prices for European CRC are forecast to reach a level of €2,430-2,450/t delivered. CRC is currently at €2,340-2,350/t delivered. HRC is set to increase from the current level of €2,200-2,220/t delivered to approximately €2,280/t next month, sources suggest.
As reported, in February alloy surcharges will increase by around €80-90/t to €1,430/t on average from the January levels €1,340-1,350/t. Taking into account the high volatility of nickel over the past month, alloy surcharge projections for March from European mills are €20-30/t lower than February. They remain €50/t higher than in January however (see Kallanish 20 January).
Over Q1 prices for stainless products are increasing compared to Q4 2016. Mills’ order books for Q1 have been filled and most mills are accepting orders for April or May delivery. The sector however is beginning to worry about Q2. The retail end of the market is already putting off purchasing material due to what has been referred to as “… the nickel psychosis”, Kallanish notes.
Source: Kallanish.com