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Steel price succumb by 2pct in days in China under inventory burden

Steel price kept declining over the past 10 days in China. Taking a hit of nearly CNY 300 per tonne in rebar after the Tomb Sweeping festival reflects the hapless situation in domestic market.

Euphoria vanishes in thin air with the China Iron & Steel Association showed that China’s daily crude steel production of CISA membership steelmakers rose to 1.697 million tonnes in early April, an increase of 1.3% over late March period. China national daily crude steel output was estimated to increase to 2.214 million tonnes a hike of 7% from 2.0719 million tonne per day in late March.

Steel reinforcement bar inventory fell in the week ended April 12 to 9.99 million tonnes, the first time it dropped below 10 million tonnes in six weeks. The latest steel inventory data suggests that finally optimism about improving demand might be rewarded as both mill and distributor inventories have started declining

But rebar stock was 30% higher on yearly basis thereby washing off all the optimism of stock decline on weekly basis.

Unless demand picks up through infrastructure consumption and policy measures the gloom is unlikely to be rarefied.

(www.steelprices-china.com)
Source - Strategic Research Institute
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Steel rebar futures at SHFE dip to 7 month low of CNY 3600 mark

Reuters reported that Shanghai rebar futures dropped to the lowest in more than seven months on Tuesday after data showed China's manufacturing sector growth slowed in April, piling pressure on steel prices already squeezed by tepid demand.

The most briskly traded rebar contract for October delivery on the Shanghai Futures Exchange touched a session low of CNY 3,584 per tonne, its weakest since September 10, 2012. It closed down 1.9% at CNY 3,600.

The flash HSBC purchasing managers' index for China dropped to 50.5 in April from 51.6 in March as new export orders shrank, fuelling a drop in riskier assets such as commodities and equities.

China's industry ministry said separately that companies had no strong desire to invest given weak demand and overcapacity, and that it did not see any improvement in the difficulties they face in an uncertain global environment.

Source - Reuters
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ThyssenKrupp sets milestone in Nanjing

As part of its strategic development program ThyssenKrupp is focusing firmly on the markets of the future. With orders and projects worth more than five billion dollars, China is the company’s most important market in Asia. ThyssenKrupp is now opening a new truck crankshaft factory in the Chinese metropolis of Nanjing. The integrated technology group is already a market leader in Europe, the NAFTA region and South America. The factory in China, built at a cost of roughly 190 million USD, will close a gap in this important market. ThyssenKrupp Engine Components Co. Ltd. will employ approx. 650 people and produce up to 345,000 crankshafts a year.

Dr Heinrich Hiesinger CEO of ThyssenKrupp AG, underlines the importance of the investment for the strategic development of the Group said that “We are focusing firmly on the markets of the future. China is an attractive market for our high tech products and services. ThyssenKrupp has a longstanding partnership with China’s auto and engine manufacturers. With our engineering expertise we are helping the Chinese auto industry meet demand for ‘more’ mobility through the use of ‘better’ technology in the vehicle. This applies particularly to meeting increasingly stringent environmental standards.”

Nanjing is the ideal location for the production of truck crankshafts. The Yangtze region is home to the key electrical, petrochemical, iron and steel, energy, auto and engine industries. International automotive manufacturers and suppliers such as Volkswagen, Fiat, Iveco and Bosch have production sites here. In addition, numerous Chinese and international engine manufacturers have located in the east of China. With its new site in Nanjing, ThyssenKrupp will be in an even better position to develop and manufacture attractive solutions and products for its customers.

Source - Strategic Research Institute
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Steel prices will mostly remain stable this year - Mr Nerurkar

According to home grown steel major TATA Steel, domestic steel prices will not swing much, and mostly remain stable in the current year.

Mr HM Nerurkar MD of TATA Steel told PTI that “Prices will remain similar. It is not going to be jumping here and there. I think, it is going to be fairly stable.”

Though he did not elaborate the reasons to draw his views home, particularly when he himself sees a 6 to 8% growth in demand during the year, Bank of India Merrill Lynch in a recent report said that steel prices in India would remain “under pressure” following January to March quarter.

It said in the report that “We expect domestic steel prices and margins to be under pressure post March quarter as demand seasonally slows post the fourth quarter.”

The average price of hot rolled coil is between INR 36,000 and INR 38,00 per tonne now.

Spokesperson of a leading private steel firm, however, differs with both as he feels prices are bound to grow, backed by good demand from end-use industries, albeit in a limited way.

Source - PTI
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US weekly raw steel production update

In the week ending April 20th 2013, domestic raw steel production was 1,858,000 net tonne while the capability utilization rate was 77.6%. Production was 2,014,000 tonne in the week ending April 20th 2012, while the capability utilization then was 80.9%.

The current week production represents a 7.7% decrease from the same period in the previous year. Production for the week ending April 20th 2013 is down 1.2% from the previous week ending April 13th 2013 when production was 1,880,000 tonne and the rate of capability utilization was 78.5%.

Adjusted year to date production through April 20th 2013 was 29,179,000 tonne, at a capability utilization rate of 76.1%. That is a 7.6% decrease from the 31,589,000 tonne during the same period last year, when the capability utilization rate was 79.7%.

Source - Strategic Research Institute
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ArcelorMittal to start shut down of 2 BFs at Florange

Economic Times reported ArcelorMittal will start mothballing two blast furnaces at its site in Florange, eastern France, on Wednesday, with an outside chance that they may reopen in six years.

ArcelorMittal said that the process would begin on Wednesday and conclude by the end of June.

The two furnaces have been idled since 2011, but that meant that they were still drawing some energy and employing 122 people.

Mothballing the plants involves withdrawing the heat and fencing them in for security reasons.

Following a French threat to nationalise the Florange plant, ArcelorMittal agreed in December not to dismantle the furnaces and to consider reopening them in six years depending on market conditions, while offering no guarantees. Restarting them would like require an investment of hundreds of millions of dollars.

Source - Economic Times
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ArcelorMittal filed complaints in Delaware court over Usibor-AS,

In defense of its patent rights, ArcelorMittal filed complaints before the District Court of Delaware on April 16th to demonstrate that AK Steel, Severstal North America and SNA's coating partner, Wheeling-Nisshin, have infringed upon its Usibor aluminum silicon coated products patent by selling steel grades protected under the Usibor-AS patent to automakers and their supply chains.

The decision follows the United States Patent and Trademark Office's re-issuance of patent RE44,153 on April 16th 2013, covering the domestic production of Usibor-AS as a HR or CR steel with a Ultimate Tensile Strength of 1,000 MPa or higher after hot forming. The patent does not expire until July 9th 2019.

In addition to patent protection in the United States, counterpart Usibor-AS patents in Canada, many European countries, Brazil and Japan cover the production, import and/or sale of steel, steel parts and vehicles containing the Usibor®-AS technology.

Additionally, the importation into the United States of steel, steel parts or vehicles containing the infringing steel may also be subject to legal action. If the court rules in ArcelorMittal's favor, AK and SNA will be held liable for damages in the case, and the company will seek an entry of injunction, prohibiting AK and SNA from further sale of infringing steel. Infringement of ArcelorMittal's Usibor®-AS patent by other steelmakers places the entire supply chain at significant risk for financial and reputational consequences.

Usibor®-AS, an aluminum pre-coated hot rolled or cold rolled steel, is an important product in ArcelorMittal's portfolio of automotive steel solutions. Usibor®-AS, often used in anti-intrusion and safety cage components, contributes to a significant weight savings for the final part, compared to standard high yield strength steel.

Source - Strategic Research Institute
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Italy finished steel imports up by 25.2pct in Jan 2013

The Italian steel producers' association Federacciai announced that in January 2013, Italy's finished steel exports totaled 1.253 million metric tonne, down by 9.7%, while its finished steel imports amounted to 1.331 million metric tonne, up 25.2%, both YoY.

In particular, in January Italy's flat product imports rose by 35%, long product imports increased by 18%, while ingot and semi finished product imports rose by 15.6% all YoY.

On the other hand, in January 2013 Italy's flat steel exports were down 13.2% and long steel exports fell 6.4% YoY.

Meanwhile, Italy recorded net imports of flat steel products amounting to about 260,000 tonne in the given month.

Source - Visit www.steelorbis.com for more
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Morgan Stanley raises Q3 iron ore estimate on demand

Morgan Stanley raised its forecast for iron ore prices in the Q3 on prospects that demand will improve in China and a global surplus will be delayed to 2015.

Analysts Mr Peter Richardson and Mr Joel Crane said that ore with 62% iron content delivered to China may average USD 128 per tonne up from USD 125 estimated in January. While the bank cut its forecast for the final three months to USD 125 from USD 130, it kept its 2013 estimate at USD 133. The prediction for 2014 was reduced by 3% to USD 117 per tonne.

According to Shanghai Steelhome Information, prices tumbled 13% from a 16 month high in February as growth in China unexpectedly lost momentum in the Q1, threatening to curb demand for the steelmaking raw material. Steel reinforcement bar inventory fell in the week ended April 12 to 9.99 million tonnes the first time it dropped below 10 million tonnes in 6 weeks.

Morgan Stanley said that the latest steel inventory data suggests that finally optimism about improving demand might be rewarded as both mill and distributor inventories have started declining in absolute terms and in days of consumption for the first time in several months.

The bank estimates the seaborne market to be in deficit of 16.2 million tonnes in 2014, from a surplus of 3.3 million tonnes forecast in January. The surplus for 2015 was raised to 49.8 million tonnes from the previous forecast of 40.1 million tonnes.

Our assessment of the seaborne market balance and price outlook in the light of the supply side issues and the improved prospects for Chinese demand is that 2013 and 2014 will be years in which the seaborne market remains in deficit. We expect the deficit to progressively shrink as new supply is ramped up in Australia, Brazil and South Africa.

Source - Bloomberg
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Peru iron ore production up by 48pct in Feb

According to Peru's Energy and Mining Ministry, in February this year, iron ore production in Peru amounted to 551,533 long tonnes increasing 48.1% compared to the same month of the previous year but down 6.5% compared to January.

In the first 2 months of 2013, the country's total iron ore production was 1.14 million long tonnes marking a rise of 27.5% compared to the same period of the previous year.

Source - Visit www.steelorbis.com for more
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DMKD to increase crude steel output by 12.5pct in 2013

Ukrainian steelmaker Dneprovsky Iron and Steel Works named after F Dzerzhinsky, a subsidiary of Ukrainian steel producer Industrial Union of Donbass, said that it plans to increase crude steel production in the current year by 12.5% compared to 2012, to 3.544 million tonne.

In addition, in the given year DMKD's production of pig iron is expected to rise by 0.6% to 3.034 million tonne, while it is targeting an agglomerate output of 5.306 million tonne, up 6.4%, both on YoY basis.

Source - Visit www.steelorbis.com for more

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EU may force Aperam to sell some steel assets if buys Italy mill

Reuters reported that the European Commission may oblige steelmaker Aperam, bidding to buy Outokumpu's stainless steel plant in Terni, to sell other steel assets if it succeeds, a commission source said that.

Finnish steelmaker Outokumpu has to sell the Acciai Speciali Terni stainless steel mill, 1 of Europe's most modern, by May to gain approval from competition authorities for the acquisition of Inoxum, ThyssenKrupp's stainless steel branch and AST was part of the acquisition.

Aperam, floated by ArcelorMittal in 2011 teamed up with Italian steel companies Arvedi and Marcegaglia to place a binding bid last week and industry sources have said that the consortium is the front runner in the race to buy the plant.

The source with knowledge of the situation said that “The market for stainless steel in Europe is already extremely concentrated and the Commission would prefer the entry of a new player. It is not to be given for granted that the Commission will give its authorization to the possible sale of the Terni factory to Aperam.”

The source added that "A possible solution may well be the imposition of a remedy on Aperam, which already owns several stainless steel mills in Europe.”

Source - Reuters

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Outokumpu schrapt 2.500 banen na tegenvallend verlies, verkoop Terni uitgesteld


AMSTERDAM (Dow Jones)--Het Finse staalbedrijf Outokumpu Oyj (OUT1V.HE), een concurrent van Aperam sa (056997440.LU), heeft donderdag bekendgemaakt in de komende jaren 2.500 banen te gaan schrappen, nadat het netto-verlies in het eerste kwartaal groter bleek dan was verwacht.

De producent van roestvast staal heeft tevens gemeld dat de verkoop van de Italiaanse Terni fabriek is uitgesteld. Deze verkoop is door de Europese Commissie opgelegd vanuit mededingingsoogpunt, nadat Outokumpu in 2012 de roestvast staal divisie Inoxum van ThyssenKrupp ag (TKA.XE) heeft overgenomen. Afgelopen februari maakte Aperam bekend een joint venture met twee Italiaanse bedrijven te hebben opgezet om de Terni-fabriek over te nemen.

De Europese markten voor roestvast staal worden gekenmerkt door overcapaciteit. Met de overname van Inoxum is Outokumpu de grootste producent op het continent geworden, gevolgd door Aperam en het Spaanse Acerinox (ACX.MC).

De deadline voor Outokumpu om de fabriek te verkopen lag op 7 mei, maar is nu dus uitgesteld. De onderneming verwacht meer informatie te verschaffen in het tweede kwartaal.

In het eerste kwartaal kwam het nettoverlies uit op EUR151 miljoen, waar analisten gemiddeld hadden gerekend op een verlies van EUR107 miljoen. De omzet bedroeg EUR2,22 miljard. Hier was door analisten gerekend op EUR2,2 miljard.

Outokumpu verwacht dat de staalleveringen in het tweede kwartaal gelijk zullen blijven of licht lager uitkomen. Ook voorziet de onderneming meer onzekerheid van de prijsontwikkeling voor nikkel. Nikkel is nodig om roestvast staal te maken. Wanneer de nikkelprijzen dalen, nemen distributeurs een afwachtende houding aan in anticipatie op eventuele verdere dalingen. De gemiddelde nikkelprijs lag in het eerste kwartaal 2% hoger in vergelijking met het vierde kwartaal van 2012.

De basisprijzen voor roestvast staal namen in de eerste verslagperiode met 3% toe. De stijging was minder groot dan Outokumpu had verwacht. Dit wijt de onderneming aan de aanhoudende economische problemen in Europa en gedeeltelijk ook in de Verenigde Staten waar de onderneming actief is.


Door Levien de Feijter; Dow Jones Nieuwsdienst: +31-20-5715200; levien.defeijter@dowjones.com

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Forse winstdaling voor Posco

Gepubliceerd op 25 apr 2013 om 10:02 | Views: 1.624

SEOUL (AFN/BLOOMBERG) - De winst van het Zuid-Koreaanse staalconcern Posco is in het eerste kwartaal met 29 procent afgenomen, onder druk van lagere prijzen en een afzwakkende vraag van autofabrikanten en scheepsbouwers. Dat blijkt uit cijfers die het concern donderdag naar buiten bracht.

De nettowinst was 383,4 miljard won (264 miljoen euro). In het eerste kwartaal van vorig jaar was dat nog 538,6 miljard won. Economen hadden gemiddeld een winst voorspeld van 505 miljard won.

Posco verlaagde zijn omzetprognoses voor de gehele groep voor dit jaar met 3 procent tot 64 biljoen won. Volgens het bedrijf zal de wereldwijde staalvraag vanaf het tweede kwartaal geleidelijk gaan herstellen. Posco is de op twee na grootste staalfabrikant van Azië.
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Steel rebar futures at SHFE continues to slip

Steel reinforcement bar futures in Shanghai fell for a third day to the lowest in more than four months as investors remained concerned about high inventories.

The contract for October delivery on the Shanghai Futures Exchange declined as much as 0.5 percent to CNY 3,581 per tone, the lowest level since December 5th

Rebar inventory in China was at 9.85 million tonnes on April 19

Source - www.steelhome.cn/en
China steel information centre and industry database
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Luxembourg to support ArcelorMittal on access to Indian market

Press Trust of India reported that Luxembourg is open to lend support to ArcelorMittal for taking forward its plans in India.

Luxembourg Ambassador Mr Gaston Stronck said that "We are ready to support if ArcelorMittal wishes and seeks help.”

Mr Stronck who was speaking on the sidelines of a CII event said that ArcelorMittal, which had shifted its headquarters to Luxembourg, had approached the authorities for related licenses and tariff for market access to India.

He said that though initially, tariff and market access matters were handled by the European Commission, but if ArcelorMittal is not satisfied with the outcome, then Luxembourg would take up the matter with the Indian government.

Source - PTI
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Japan iron and steel production in FY2012

According to preliminary trade statistics from the Ministry of Finance, Japan customs cleared exports of iron and steel products totaled 43,417,000 tonne in fiscal 2012, up 9.6% from a year ago, when they stood at the second highest level after a record 43,630,000 tonne of total exports in fiscal 1999.

Among main destinations, Asia accounted for 34,592,000 tonne, up 9.6% from a year ago.

In Asia, China took 5,931,000 tons, down 7.1%; NIEs 13,184,000 tonne, up 2.3%; and ASEAN 13,614,000 tonne, up 22.8%.

In other areas, the USA accounted for 2,280,000 tonne, up 9.9% from a year ago; the Middle East 1,868,000 tonne, up 15.6%; the EU 330,000 tonne, down 19.3%; and Russia 190,000 tonne, down 30.2%.

Meanwhile, Japan's customs cleared imports of iron and steel products totaled 7,452,416 tonne in fiscal 2012, down 7.9% from a year ago, indicate preliminary trade statistics from the Ministry of Finance.

In the breakdown by main sources, China supplied 1,155,770 tonne, down 16.6% from a year ago; Asian NIEs 4,677,917 tonne, down 1.3%; ASEAN 112,204 tonne, down 31.3%; Russia 183,329 tonne, down 30.2%; the EU 137,571 tonne, up 7.5%; the USA 17,124 tonne, up 6.1%; and the Middle East 1,053 tonne, down 94.1%.

Source - The TEX Report
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AK Steel Q1 2013 financial results

AK Steel announced that its net loss of USD 9.9 million, or USD 0.07 per diluted share of common stock, for the Q1 ended March 31st 2013, compared to a net loss of USD 11.8 million, or USD 0.11 per diluted share, for the Q1 of 2012.

This also compares to a net loss of USD 230.4 million, or USD 1.89 per diluted share, or an adjusted net loss of USD 36.6 million, or USD 0.30 per diluted share, for the Q1 of 2012. The adjusted net loss for the Q1 of 2012 excludes a pension corridor charge and a non cash income tax charge as a result of a change in a deferred tax asset valuation allowance and is reconciled below.

Net sales for the Q1 of 2013 were USD 1,369.8 million on shipments of 1,289,800 tonne, compared to net sales of USD 1,508.7 million on shipments of 1,325,900 tonne for the year ago Q1 and net sales of USD 1,423.1 million on shipments of 1,406,100 tonne for the Q4 of 2012. The decreased shipments in the Q1 of 2013 compared to both prior periods were primarily due to lower shipments to the carbon spot market, partially offset by increased shipments to the automotive market.

The company said that its average selling price for the Q1 of 2013 was USD 1,062 per tonne, a 7% decrease from the Q1 of 2012, but a 5% increase from the Q4 of 2012. The higher average selling price for the Q1 of 2013 compared to the Q4 of 2012 was primarily due to a higher value added product mix and higher carbon spot market prices, partially offset by lower selling prices for electrical steel products globally. The lower average selling price for the first quarter of 2013 compared to the Q1 of 2012 was primarily due to lower spot market prices for carbon steel products, reduced raw material surcharges and lower selling prices for electrical steel products globally.

Mr James L Wainscott, chairman, President and CEO of AK Steel, said that “AK Steel’s results reflect significant progress for the company during the Q1. We experienced increased shipments to the automotive market, a higher-priced product mix, and lower costs, primarily for raw materials.”

Mr Wainscott said that “While the automotive market was a bright spot for our business, markets remained challenging for some products, particularly those in the spot market. Simply put, global steelmaking capacity continues to exceed demand. Additionally, the cyclical improvement in spot market pricing we normally see during the first quarter did not materialize and is expected to occur later this year.”

The company ended the Q1 of 2013 with total liquidity of USD 1,052.6 million, consisting of cash and cash equivalents and USD 874.4 million of availability under the company’s revolving credit facility. There were no outstanding borrowings under the company’s revolving credit facility as of March 31st 2013.

Source - Strategic Research Institute
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Mr Mittal invests EUR 5 million in parent company of German

It is reported that Mr Lakshi Mittal has reportedly invested EUR 5 million in the parent company of German etailer Zalando.

According to reports, Mittal is one of several to have invested in Rocket Bigfoot, Zalando’s parent company. Others include Kurt Rudolf Schwarz, heir to German pharmaceutical giant Schwarz who has invested EUR 10 million, Ukrainian billionaire Mr Victor Pinchuk with EUR 15 million and Colombian financial manager and beer magnate Mr Alejandro Santo Domingo who invested EUR 25 million.

The investments came to light after a document meant for Zalando’s potential investors was leaked to a German magazine.

Zalando’s parent company is thought to be using the investment to finance different subsidiaries in Latin America, India, Russia and the Middle-East. This is not the first time the Mittal family has invested in a German fashion business.

In November 2009 premium German womenswear brand Escada was sold to Mittal’s daughter in law Ms Megha Mittal for an undisclosed sum.

In February 2013, Drapers revealed that Zalando was scaling back its UK buying operation with 18 roles at its London head office being placed into consultation.

Source - www.drapersonline.com

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Iron ore outlook remains upbeat despite recent battering

If providence had its way in business it is certainly favoring the iron ore business globally. Regardless of the astounding undulations witnessed in the last 6 months stability was the last word.

Meteoric escalation of nearly 83% from September to January was reverberating but muted decline by 17% thereafter was sign of market remaining ascendant despite all the apprehension. Insatiable appetite for iron ore from China remained ascendant with the steel production remaining unrelenting despite the shrill of high inventory and low price.

China imported whopping 186.48 million tonne more or less stable compared to the corresponding period of 2012. However the average import price of iron ore in March was USD 139.3 per tonne up 16.2% compared to the price recorded in January this year.

Although ore price has bulked a bit recently there is no sign of an imminent collapse despite the finished price taking a severe beating by almost 6% over the last 2 months. Evidently it indicates the Chinese mills fetish for re-stocking. The only difference has been the drop in average stockpile at Chinese port by about 20-25 million tonnes over the last 6 months.

Rightly so iron price forecast have been raised recently by analyst as demand is expected to improve in Q2 and Q3 with the economic growth slated to touch over 8% from 7.7% in Q1.Ore with 62 percent iron content delivered to China may average USD128 per tonne, up from USD 125 per tonne estimated in January.

The latest steel inventory data suggests that finally optimism about improving demand might be rewarded as both mill and distributor inventories have started declining in absolute terms. Seaborne market is expected to be in deficit of 16.2 million tons in 2014, from a surplus of 3.3 million tons forecast in January. However the deficit will progressively shrink as new supply is ramped up in Australia, Brazil and South Africa.

China’s demand is expected to be 840 million tons in 2013 from 832 million tons in January,

In the light of the above the Chinese mills have made an attempt to increase their say in the iron ore business by launching an attempt to wrest some control of the global iron ore market from the dominant big three miners by implementing rules to force importers to use a domestic trading platform for the steel making ingredient rather than one backed by the miners.

Under new rules, traders and steel mills seeking a new licence to import will now have to trade at least 500,000 tonnes of iron ore on the CBMX Aiming to grab most of the volume in the market, it will replace globalORE system of the big three as benchmark thereby ruling out their hegemony. If the miners didn't control the physical trade then the pricing would be fairer and more transparent.

However regardless of the ongoing tug of war between the buyers and miners which has been dominated by the latter iron ore import in China is unlikely to see any major upheaval in medium term. Unstoppable healthy economic growth will keep the steel demand and production elevated.

Source - Strategic Research Institute
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