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RJ 80 17 februari 2021 17:38

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Nee, maar moet dat dan? Of zit je alleen vandaag in het aandeel? Wat consolidatie zo nu en dan is te verwachten na de mooie stijging afgelopen maanden. Ik vind het juist prima af en toe zo'n dag, geeft wat minder 'hoogtevrees' telkens voor daarna....

Maandag 17 februari 2021 17:43

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Misschien de derde vrijdag in de maand...

[verwijderd] 17 februari 2021 18:16

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shorter AQR Capital Management gaat van 0,79% naar 0,61%. Mooi -/- 0,18.

eduardo3105 17 februari 2021 18:22

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quote:
ff_relativeren schreef op 17 februari 2021 18:16:
shorter AQR Capital Management gaat van 0,79% naar 0,61%. Mooi -/- 0,18.

Aan de ene kant is het mooi maar het geeft te denken dat zij zo makkelijk kan terukopen zonder dat de koers oploopt. Er is dus nog steeds weinig interesse in Oci.

Kruimeldief 17 februari 2021 18:46

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quote:
eduardo3105 schreef op 17 februari 2021 18:22:
[...]
Aan de ene kant is het mooi maar het geeft te denken dat zij zo makkelijk kan terukopen zonder dat de koers oploopt. Er is dus nog steeds weinig interesse in Oci.

Mee eens. Melding staat op de 16e; zou dus de extra omzet van vrijdag nog kunnen zijn?
Vanochtend goede omzet de eerste paar uur en daarna werd het weer mondjesmaat geloosd. Worden we, merk ik aan sommige reacties, terecht, soms een beetje moedeloos van, omdat velen van ons al jaren geduld hebben moeten hebben.
OCI moet mijns inziens gewoon snel nu van een behoorlijke portie schuld af. Hoe? Opsplitsing, verkoop van methanol?
De uitgestelde beslissing tot begin 2021, zoals vorig jaar aangekondigd na consultatie, over de te volgen strategie, moet snel bekend worden gemaakt, lijkt mij. Anders vrees ik dat we weer als lelijk eendje terugzakken.

Just lucky 17 februari 2021 19:05

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quote:
BultiesBrothers schreef op 17 februari 2021 16:24:
www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/OC...

De punten onder weaknesses, die kloppen als een bus

Klopt inderdaad, maar die gaan overwegend over het verleden. De strengths daarentegen zijn overwegend gericht op de toekomst.....

Kruimeldief 17 februari 2021 19:41

1

De titel van marketscreener lees ik als aanbeveling en boven de grafiek staat een target van € 24,60.

BultiesBrothers 17 februari 2021 20:55

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quote:
eduardo3105 schreef op 17 februari 2021 18:22:
[...]
Aan de ene kant is het mooi maar het geeft te denken dat zij zo makkelijk kan terukopen zonder dat de koers oploopt. Er is dus nog steeds weinig interesse in Oci.

Ja vanuit onze posities bekeken, zorgt het coveren van AQR helaas voor (te?) weinig koersdruk. Anderzijds zien zijn wel noodzaak om te coveren.
- Wellicht vanwege goede cijfers over Q4 en vooruitzichten rest 2021
- Mogelijke methanol verkoop / algehele verkoop

Ze kopen nu wel haastiger terug dan voorheen. Vaak was het met 0.10%, maar nu doen ze er een schepje bovenop. Hebben ze haast??

[verwijderd] 17 februari 2021 21:05

2

Het extreme winterweer in de VS heeft toch zijn inpact.

Cold weather shutters some US fertilizer plants
Published date: 17 February 2021

Share:
High demand for natural gas feedstock and low availability, both resulting from cold weather, have caused US fertilizer producers from Texas north to Nebraska to idle plants this week.

Texas producers shut down nitrogen production before the weekend that will likely remain off line for most of the week. PCI Nitrogen stopped ammonium sulfate production on 13 February and all other operations, including its sulfuric acid plant, on 15 February. Nutrien's Borger facility is off line though the producer anticipates restarting by the end of the week.

In Oklahoma, gas distribution company Enable Gas Transmission yesterday required all industrial consumers of natural gas to cease offtake to preserve supply for the "human needs" of electricity generation and residential gas supply. Several large plants operate in Oklahoma, including Koch's Enid facility and two CF Industries plants. Koch and CF Industries chose not to comment.

In Nebraska, Koch's Beatrice plant cut its gas offtake by about 90pc on 13 February, according to gas transmission data and flows are still minimal today.

But Louisiana plants appear to have remained on line this week. CF Industries' Donaldsonville facility was still operating as of yesterday, participants said, while Nutrien's Geismar site was also running yesterday evening.

The situation in the Midwest is mixed. Iowa plants — including OCI's Wever facility, CF Industries' Port Neal and Koch' Fort Dodge — are reported off line but the producers did not confirm this. Nutrien's Lima, Ohio, facility, though was still operating last night.

The affected facilities represent around 5mn st/year of urea production capacity, or 90,000st/week, as well as considerable volume of UAN and ammonia.

Though near-term retail fertilizer demand is low because of the widespread cold weather, lost supply because of the shutdowns will likely be felt in a snug market when demand returns.

Natural gas supply has been severely affected by widespread cold weather across most of the nation which shut off some production facilities while increasing heating demand. Same-day natural gas prices across wide swaths of the country are at historic levels — Texas' Katy hub rose to $377/mmBtu yesterday — in attempts to ration demand and draw in supply.

By Bede Heren

BultiesBrothers 17 februari 2021 21:19

0

quote:
jessebrown schreef op 17 februari 2021 21:05:
The situation in the Midwest is mixed. Iowa plants — including OCI's Wever facility, CF Industries' Port Neal and Koch' Fort Dodge — are reported off line but the producers did not confirm this. Nutrien's Lima, Ohio, facility, though was still operating last night.

Nou ik weet de reden al wel.
De Investor Relations laat het afweten om te reageren...

BultiesBrothers 17 februari 2021 21:31

0

seekingalpha.com/news/3662414-cf-indu...

CF Industries Q4 2020 Earnings Preview
Feb. 16, 2021 5:35 PM ETCF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)By: Akanksha Bakshi, SA News Editor
CF Industries (NYSE:CF) is scheduled to announce Q4 earnings results on Wednesday, February 17th, after market close.
The consensus EPS Estimate is $0.15 (-40.0% Y/Y) and the consensus Revenue Estimate is $1.02B (-2.9% Y/Y).
Analysts expect Gross margin of 14.7%; and Operating profit of $97.4M.
Over the last 1 year, CF has beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time and has beaten revenue estimates 25% of the time.
Over the last 3 months, EPS estimates have seen 5 upward revisions and 4 downward. Revenue estimates have seen 7 upward revisions and 3 downward.

BultiesBrothers 17 februari 2021 21:33

1

www.weeronline.nl/Noord-Amerika/Veren...

Denk dat er wel een marathon op natuurijs mogelijk is nabij de IOWA facility

BultiesBrothers 17 februari 2021 21:48

0

www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/crop...

DTN Retail Fertilizer Trends
DAP, Urea Prices Surge 21% Over Last Month as Fertilizer Prices Spike
2/17/2021 | 5:10 AM CST
Russ Quinn
By , DTN Staff Reporter
Connect with Russ:
DAP prices increased 21% from last month to $588 per ton, according to retailers surveyed by DTN. The phosphate fertilizer is now 42% more expensive than last year. (DTN chart)
OMAHA (DTN) -- Retail fertilizer prices continued to climb sharply higher the second week of February 2021, according to retailers surveyed by DTN.

For the second week in a row, all eight of the major fertilizers' prices were higher by a significant amount, which DTN designates as 5% or more.

DAP and urea led the way higher. Both fertilizers were a staggering 21% more expensive compared to last month. DAP had an average price of $588 per ton, up $102, while urea was at $453/ton, up $80.

MAP was 17% more expensive, looking back to the prior month. The phosphorus fertilizer had an average price of $642/ton, up $91.

Behind MAP, was UAN28 and UAN32, which were both 16% more expensive, looking back to last month. UAN28 had an average price of $243/ton, up $33, and UAN32 $285/ton, up $38.

Anhydrous was up 10% compared to last month. The nitrogen fertilizer has an average price of $524/ton, up $50.

Starter fertilizer, 10-34-0, was up 9% looking back to last month. The average price for 10-34-0 was $512/ton, up $43.

More Recommended for You

And, finally, potash was up 7% compared to the prior month. Potash had an average price of $398/ton, up $25.

On a price per pound of nitrogen basis, the average urea price was at $0.49/lb.N, up 2 cents from last month; anhydrous $0.32/lb.N, up 1 cent; UAN28 $0.43/lb.N, unchanged; and UAN32 $0.45/lb.N, up 3 cents.

Higher fertilizer prices in 2021 is the topic of a recent paper titled "Predicting fertilizer price in 2021" by Gregg Ibendahl, agricultural economist at Kansas State University (KSU) Extension.

The purpose of the paper was to update a 2019 price prediction model for anhydrous ammonia. The author said there is a correlation between fertilizer prices and the price of corn and oil.

"Economic theory tells us that higher prices for an output will cause producers to produce more by using more of the production inputs," Ibendahl wrote. "Thus, higher corn prices lead to more nitrogen fertilizer per corn acre (i.e., increased demand for nitrogen fertilizer)."

As for what fertilizer prices will do in 2021, Ibendahl believes prices could continue to rise until at least the fall. His model predicts national anhydrous ammonia prices could reach $600 per ton before falling off some in the fall.

"This would be nearly a 50% increase over prices during the summer of 2020," he wrote.

Higher anhydrous prices will likely lead to other fertilizers also increasing in price, Ibendahl said.

To read the entire KSU paper, click on the following link: .

With retail fertilizer prices moving higher over recent months, all fertilizers are now higher in price from a year ago.

Both UAN28 and UAN32 are now 3% more expensive, both potash and anhydrous are 7% higher, 10-34-0 is 11% more expensive, urea is 25% more expensive, DAP is 42% higher and MAP is 48% more expensive compared to last year.

DTN collects roughly 1,700 retail fertilizer bids from 310 retailer locations weekly. Not all fertilizer prices change each week. Prices are subject to change at any time.

DTN Pro Grains subscribers can find current retail fertilizer price in the DTN Fertilizer Index on the Fertilizer page under Farm Business.

Retail fertilizer charts dating back to 2010 are available in the DTN fertilizer segment. The charts included cost of N/lb., DAP, MAP, potash, urea, 10-34-0, anhydrous, UAN28 and UAN32.

DRY
Date Range DAP MAP POTASH UREA
Feb 10-14 2020 413 435 373 361
Mar 9-13 2020 407 432 370 377
Apr 6-10 2020 409 434 370 382
May 4-8 2020 413 433 370 388
Jun 1-5 2020 407 431 364 373
Jun 29-Jul 3 2020 406 427 361 357
Jul 27-31 2020 410 429 358 355
Aug 24-28 2020 430 435 352 355
Sep 21-25 2020 434 453 338 361
Oct 19-23 2020 446 476 332 359
Nov 16-20 2020 455 488 336 358
Dec 14-18 2020 466 522 360 361
Jan 11-15 2021 486 551 373 373
Feb 8-12 2021 588 642 398 453
LIQUID
Date Range 10-34-0 ANHYD UAN28 UAN32
Feb 10-14 2020 464 490 235 277
Mar 9-13 2020 466 490 235 278
Apr 6-10 2020 468 492 235 278
May 4-8 2020 468 492 237 280
Jun 1-5 2020 468 475 236 276
Jun 29-Jul 3 2020 468 461 233 272
Jul 27-31 2020 465 454 223 262
Aug 24-28 2020 464 442 219 258
Sep 21-25 2020 457 425 215 253
Oct 19-23 2020 456 424 209 249
Nov 16-20 2020 455 422 207 249
Dec 14-18 2020 463 450 210 253
Jan 11-15 2021 469 474 210 247
Feb 8-12 2021 512 524 243 285

BultiesBrothers 17 februari 2021 22:26

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CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Announces Redemption of Senior Secured Notes Due 2021

Company Release - 2/17/2021
DEERFIELD, Ill.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: CF) today announced that its wholly owned subsidiary CF Industries, Inc. has elected to redeem in full on March 20, 2021, all of the $250,000,000 outstanding principal amount of its 3.400% Senior Secured Notes (the “Notes”) due December 2021, in accordance with the optional redemption provisions of the indenture governing the Notes. CF intends to use cash on hand to fund the redemption.

Is dit een regelmatig terugkerende handeling van een bedrijf?
OCI kwam maand geleden ook met hetzelfde nieuws.

BultiesBrothers 17 februari 2021 22:36

0

Snapshot uit hun bericht over q4 2020

Nitrogen Market Outlook

The global nitrogen pricing outlook for 2021 is significantly more positive compared to 2020, underpinned by higher commodity crop futures prices and substantially higher energy prices in Asia and Europe. These dynamics have driven strong global nitrogen demand and lower global nitrogen operating rates at the start of the year, tightening the global nitrogen market. As a result, the price per ton of a granular urea barge at New Orleans at the beginning of February 2021 was approximately 40 percent higher than the beginning of December 2020 and 60 percent higher than at the same point a year ago.

Global commodity crop near-term and futures prices have risen to their highest levels since 2014. Corn prices have increased significantly as lower yields in North America in 2020, poor growing weather in South America and strong demand for corn from China have resulted in the U.S. Department of Agriculture projecting the corn stocks to use ratio for marketing year 2020/21 at 10.6% in January 2021, its lowest level since 2013. These factors, along with U.S. government support for the agriculture industry, have resulted in strengthened farm economics and greater resources available to crop producers for 2021 crop inputs.

The Company projects that nitrogen-consuming coarse grain acres in North America will stay at or above 2020 levels despite an expected significant increase in soybean plantings as high crop prices and reduced prevent plant acreage in 2021 will result in higher overall planted acres in the year. The Company projects approximately 90-92 million planted corn acres in the United States in 2021. Demand for nitrogen should also be supported by higher canola plantings in Canada. Additionally, the Company expects demand in the region for industrial uses of nitrogen will rise with economic activity should the COVID-19 pandemic be brought under control through widespread vaccination.

Global nitrogen requirements are expected to remain robust throughout the year, driven by continued strong demand for urea imports from India and Brazil. Favorable weather in India has supported record urea tender volumes in 2019 and 2020. The Company projects urea tender volumes in India in 2021 to ease from record highs, but to be well above the five-year average of 6.5-7.0 million metric tons. The Company also believes that improved farm incomes and no active domestic urea production in Brazil will support demand for approximately 6.5 million metric tons of urea in 2021, similar to 2020.

In addition to strong global nitrogen demand, global nitrogen pricing has been supported by lower nitrogen supply availability entering 2021. Higher natural gas prices in Asia and Europe have significantly reduced margins for nitrogen producers in these regions compared to the industry’s marginal producer, which remains Chinese anthracite coal-based complexes. This has resulted in lower operating rates in Europe and Asia. Additionally, Chinese producers have reported lower operating rates due to higher costs for coal, increased environmental inspections and natural gas being diverted to meet heating needs.

Natural gas energy spreads between North America and Europe/Asia widened significantly at the end of 2020 into 2021. From July 2020 to December 2020, the Dutch TTF natural gas price and the Asian JKM liquefied natural gas price both increased approximately five times greater than the U.S. Henry Hub natural gas price. These wider spreads have steepened the global nitrogen cost curve, increasing margin opportunities for North American producers. Forward curves suggest that these energy spreads will persist throughout 2021.

[verwijderd] 17 februari 2021 22:38

0

Ziet er goed uit,nabeurs 1,5% hoger
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Reports Full Year 2020 Net Earnings of $317 Million, EBITDA of $1,316 Million, Adjusted EBITDA of $1,350 Million

More content below

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Wed, February 17, 2021, 10:30 PM

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CACEX
-0.09%

CF
-0.40%
Operational Performance: Safety, Production and Sales Volume Records

Strong Global Demand, Rising Global Energy Prices Drive Positive Nitrogen Outlook

Continued Focus on Clean Energy as Long-Term Growth Platform

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: CF), a leading global manufacturer of hydrogen and nitrogen products, today announced results for its fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2020.

Highlights

Full year net earnings of $317 million(1), or $1.47 per diluted share; EBITDA(2) of $1,316 million; adjusted EBITDA(2) of $1,350 million

Fourth quarter net earnings of $87 million, or $0.40 per diluted share; EBITDA of $334 million; adjusted EBITDA of $338 million

Full year net cash from operating activities of $1,231 million, free cash flow(3) of $748 million

Lowest year-end rolling average recordable incident rate in Company history

Company-record annual gross ammonia production of 10.4 million tons and company-record quarterly gross ammonia production of 2.7 million tons in the fourth quarter of 2020

Company-record 20.3 million product tons sold

Company to redeem remaining $250 million of Senior Secured Notes due December 2021

"Our team’s outstanding execution in 2020 produced multiple records for safety, production and sales volume, and delivered strong results in a challenging environment," said Tony Will, president and chief executive officer, CF Industries Holdings, Inc. "Nitrogen industry dynamics entering 2021 are the most favorable we’ve seen in nearly a decade, as rising grain values and higher global energy prices are driving significant price appreciation for nitrogen products. We expect that these conditions will provide a very positive backdrop for the year.

"Longer term, we are focused on our clean energy strategy as a growth platform and continue to make progress on our initiatives. We see significant and growing interest from potential partners and customers in clean hydrogen and ammonia as a way to make real progress decarbonizing key industries. We believe we are uniquely positioned with our unparalleled asset

Appel72 18 februari 2021 06:54

0

Goedemorgen
Geen slechte cijfers van CF industries.
Verwacht mede hierdoor toch wel weer een stijging naar de 19 Euro.
Ik heb nog wat gekochte calls18,50 als ook geschreven puts 18,50
Ga zo naar het werk en zie einde dag wel weer

[verwijderd] 18 februari 2021 09:19

0

Het voordeel van de twijfel is bij OCI hardnekkig het verleden van resultaten is diep geworteld komende cijfers en outlook moet het wantrouwen wegnemen.

[verwijderd] 18 februari 2021 09:19

0

PR Newswire
18.02.2021 | 08:28
138 Leser
Artikel bewerten:
(0)
Aker ASA: Aker Horizons partners with Yara and Statkraft to establish Europe's first large scale green ammonia project in Norway
OSLO, Norway, Feb. 18, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- Aker Horizons AS ("Aker Horizons") announced today that it has signed a Letter of Intent with Statkraft AS ("Statkraft") and Yara International ASA ("Yara") aiming to establish Europe's first industrial-scale green ammonia project in Norway, enable the hydrogen economy, and accelerate the energy transition. The first project in the partnership will be to electrify Yara's existing ammonia facility in Porsgrunn, which has the potential to be one of the largest climate initiatives in Norwegian industrial history. The partners will further target green hydrogen and green ammonia opportunities within shipping, agriculture and industrial applications.

Plein777 18 februari 2021 10:22

1

Ondertussen bij onze Duitse concurrent K+S. :

18-2-2021 10:02:34

Duitse toezichthouders zet vraagtekens bij cijfers K+S
============================================

(ABM FN) De Duitse toezichthouder BaFin heeft woensdag het Deutsche Prüfstelle für Rechnungslegungsaufsicht opgedragen om nogmaals te kijken naar de cijfers van K+S Aktiengesellschaft.

Dit bevestigde kunstmestfabrikant K+S in een persbericht.

Er zijn zorgen dat K+S de cijfers over 2019 en in een update halverwege 2020 mooier heeft doen laten voorkomen dat ze daadwerkelijk zijn.

De Duitse toezichthouder stelt dat K+S moet toetsen als de boekwaarde en werkelijke waarde van een bezitting te ver uiteen lopen en waar nodig een afschrijving moet doen.

Volgens BaFin is hieraan niet voldaan en de toezichthouder vermoedt dat K+S een afschrijving moet gaan doen op bepaalde activa.

Het aandeel K+S daalde donderdagochtend met 10,3 procent.

Door: ABM Financial News.
pers@abmfn.be
Redactie: +32(0)78 486 481

Vertraagd	31 jan 2025 17:37
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