luchtschip schreef op 6 januari 2022 23:11:
Rusland kan dankzij Kazachstan de olie en gas markt voor China en Centraal Azie domineren
Rusland heeft dan een handelsoverwicht over China
Niva Yau, Senior Researcher @OSCE_Academy ( Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe ) :
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Russia’s militarisation in Kazakhstan is going to have explosive consequences in the global oil and gas market, if Tokayev finally gives in.
For past couple of years, Russia has been trying to control China’s oil and gas purchases from Central Asia.
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Russia has been trying to do this via pushing Kazakhstan to agree on a regional EAEU standard tariff on oil and gas prices, which gives Russia price-setting control over oil and gas trade between China & Central Asia.
Both Nazarbayev ( President Kazachstan van 1991 tot 2019 ) & Tokayev ( President van Kazachstan vanaf maart 2019 ) had been strongly against this
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For Russia, this gives huge bargaining power when negotiating its own oil and gas deals with China. Huge leverage. For Kazakhstan, this is trading off economic independence and getting somewhat economic predictability, which still depends if Russia can handle global prices.
twitter.com/nivayau/status/1479021282...